Wan Kaizi’s presidential election in the United States has been strong, and frozen production has be-reshacker

000 Kaizi: American election gold quite and strong frozen oil continued production differences unsolved empty potential market summary: this week has been around $49-50 for the next day, finally ending the night ended, and the results of the writer Wan Kaizi bearish trend not much difference between. From the overall trend, this week, oil prices are in a downward state of shock, all of which mainly around the OPEC and the oil producing countries to deal with "frozen production or reduction" of the problem, directly to oil prices have a direct impact. Last week, oil prices rose by 1%, which also reached a new high in the year, while the decline this week was mainly due to some investors’ profit from last week, as well as the divergence of some oil producing countries in the face of ", and the reduction of production caused the market to have a grim prospect for OPEC. On Friday in the regulation of sentiment, eventually because of Iran and Iraq again against the production, which makes the market more skeptical of the output to reach an agreement, the pressure oil prices fell again 2%. Last week, oil prices were the perfect curtain call, although the technical aspects can only block the role of coordination, and many of the news lies in the "OPEC freeze production agreement" pulling. News interpretation: U.S. WTI December crude oil futures price on Friday (October 28th) closed down 1.06 U.S. dollars, down 1.90%, to $48.66 barrel. Although data show that the number of active rigs in the United States has decreased for the first time since June, oil prices are still below $50 on Friday, and the biggest weekly decline in six weeks is due to concerns that the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will not fully implement the production reduction plan. Sources say the US Federal Bureau of investigation (FBI) has found more American presidential candidates, Hilary, working with private mail during their jobs as secretary of state. Affected by this, oil prices fell further, the U.S. stock market fell, but later recovered part of the land lost. The dollar later cuts to help oil prices decline, but the OPEC meeting in Vienna have not yet resolved differences message to put pressure on oil prices, resulting in closed down. Non oil OPEC officials such as OPEC and Russia began a two day conference in Vienna on Friday to discuss limiting production to curb global oversupply. Technical analysis: the crude oil from the daily technology point of view of crude oil last week four "Yin and Yang" bear trend again to oil pressure, and today early oil prices continue to extend its decline, the current order of around $48.3, Bollinger Bands still showed a necking operation, that oil prices still tend to bear trend, MA5 MA10 average duration make Sicha running down, and still be above the 51020 day moving average to suppress, the K line below the brin rail position shows that its position is still downside risk, MACD index in the 0 axis turn Sicha running, green volume gradually is neutral; see oil prices from below the Bollinger band rail rail position on a positive charge Cross stars from the four hour chart, MA5 MA10 $49.47 position Sicha down operation, at the same time the MACD index in the 0 axis below the dead MACD run, red exhausted; On the whole, it is expected that today’s market will continue to extend the short trend, the range is still dominated by shocks within the day..

万凯梓:美国大选黄金挺而走强 冻产分歧未解油价延续空势   行情总结:   本周一直围绕49-50美元关口的争夺,终于在隔日收官之夜落下帷幕,其结果与笔者万凯梓看空的趋势相差无几。从整体趋势来看,本周油价处于震荡下行状态,这一切主要还是围绕OPEC与各产油国对待“冻产或减产”的问题直接给油价带来直接的影响。上周油价收涨1%从而也达到年内新高,而本周处于下跌趋势主要是由于一些投资者从上周中获利了结以及一些产油国面对"减产”所带来的分歧令市场对OPEC前景堪忧。上周五在多空情绪的调节之下,最终还是由于伊朗和伊拉克再度反对减产,这使得市场更加怀疑达成减产协议的可能,这施压油价再度收跌2%。上周油价就这样完美谢幕,虽然技术面只能阻挡一道起到配合的作用,而诸多的消息面皆在于“OPEC冻产协议”的拉扯之中。   消息解读:   美国WTI 12月原油期货电子盘价格周五(10月28日)收盘下跌1.06美元,跌幅1.90%,报48.66美元 桶。尽管数据显示,美国活跃钻机数量自6月来首次减少,但油价周五依然收在50美元之下,且创六周来最大周度跌幅,因担忧石油输出国组织(OPEC)不会全面落实减产计划。有消息称,美国联邦调查局(FBI)发现更多美国总统候选人希拉里在担任国务卿期间利用私人邮箱发送的工作邮件。受此影响,油价进一步下滑,美国股市下跌,但尾盘收复部分失地。美元走软扶助油价稍后削减跌幅,但OPEC维也纳会议仍未化解分歧的消息给油价施压,导致终盘收跌。OPEC和俄罗斯等非OPEC产油国官员周五开始在维也纳举行为期两天的会议,讨论限产以遏制全球供应过剩。   原油技术面解析:   从日线技术图上看原油上周“四阴一阳”的空头趋势再度令油价承压,而今日盘初油价继续延伸其跌势,目前整理于48.3美元附近,布林带依旧呈缩口运行,说明油价依旧偏于空头趋势,MA5 MA10均线持续交死叉向下运行,并且照旧受上方5 10 20日均线压制,K线跌破布林带下轨位置说明其位置依旧有下行空间的风险,MACD指标于0轴上方交死叉运行,绿色动能放量逐渐呈中性;从四小时图上看油价从布林带中轨跌破其下轨位置上收取一颗阳十字星,MA5 MA10交49.47美元位置交死叉向下运行,同时附图MACD指标于0轴下方死金叉运行,红色消耗殆尽;综合来看,预计今日行情将继续延伸空头趋势,日内还是以区间震荡为主。上方重点关注49美元整数关口的争夺,而下方支撑点48美元位置则是后续下行风险的焦点。      上方阻力位: 49.0 49.3   下方支撑位: 48.0 47.8   操作策略一:下方回落48.0美元附近即可做多,止损0.4美元,目标48.7美元附近;   操作策略二:上方反弹49.0美元关口即可做空,止损0.4美元,目标48.4美元附近;   黄金技术面解析:   上周黄金收得两阴三阳趋势偏向多头,特别是在上周五由于美国三季度GDP极为靓丽,但金价的表现较为强劲快速下跌回补展现深V走势,令其刷新两日制高点。主要还是由于市场对黄金的实物需求、全球宽松货币黄金及美国大选的不确定性依然给金价提供支撑。今日盘初继续延伸周五涨势,目前整理于1277美元附近一线。布林带依然呈缩口运行,上方企及布林带上轨且受其施压,MA5 MA10交金叉向上运行且受5、10日均线在下方强力支撑,MACD指标于0轴下方交金叉运行,红色动能放量逐渐呈强性,说明日内黄金仍有进一步上涨空间,从四小时线上看K线贯穿布林带上轨回落收取十字星,说明多头趋势仍然强势,布林带呈开口运行上行动能有所持强,MA5 MA10均线于1268美元附近交金叉向上运行,附图MACD双线位于0轴上方交金叉向上运行,红色动能放量指标逐渐呈强性;综合来看,美国大选的不确定性,共和党候选人特朗普赢得大选或未来两周内有明显迹象显示其或将获胜,这一方面对金价受到提振大涨会有很大影响。同时,技术面上,金价也顺利突破前期一直关注的1277美元附近的阻力位,这对于金价上涨提供了良好信号。但对于今日操作思路笔者万凯梓建议多头为主。不过短线仍需要关注上方1281美元附近的阻力,一旦有效突破,金价有望再续录得上涨,而下方短线仍需关注1271美元附近的支撑位,若跌破此位置,金价则存在进一步回调的可能。      黄金操作策略:建议回落在1271美元附近即可做多,默认止损,目标1281美元附近;   后市趋势判断:   上述笔者也说过本周的焦点是围绕“各大产油国谈判有关对待减产的态度”,不过在隔日的谈判之中伊朗和伊拉克再度反对减产,这使得市场更加怀疑达成减产协议的可能,令油价大幅下挫创六周来最大周度跌幅。本周围绕49-50美元之间的窄幅震荡也顺利结束了,油价偏于空头进一步的回调整理。随着金九银十的离去,而面对下周的非农行情以及下月的OPEC维也纳会议各大产油国又会做出怎样的举动呢?关键是看今日OPEC与部分非OPEC国家参加技术会议,计划讨论减产协议细节。如果会议顺利,或能打消近期市场产生的各种怀疑。但笔者万凯梓并不看好这一点,从OPEC目前的形势来看,达成协议并非易事。最关键性的问题一直在强调如何遏制全球供应过剩,这是源头拖累油价上涨的重要因素。其次各个成员国的减产配额也很难完美达成,这必将引起更大的分歧争夺,也会令OPEC蒙上一层阴影。所以笔者万凯梓预计下周油价将延续空头趋势,若再度跌破下方关键支撑点48美元的话,后市中线布局方可看到45美元一线,在下周非农前夕预计油价也不会有太大的涨幅,关键看11月的OPEC维也纳会议,此次会议将决定后期油市的走势。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: